Palantir Defies Wall Street Skepticism as AI Software Marks Milestone Year
ICARO Media Group
In a remarkable turn of events, Palantir Technologies (PLTR -0.53%) has continued its impressive ascent, leaving the bears in its wake. Once deemed a government contractor masquerading as an AI developer, Palantir showcased its true potential in 2023 with the release of its latest AI software product, leading to significant growth outside of the public sector.
Palantir, backed by prominent Silicon Valley venture capitalists like Peter Thiel, had long remained shrouded in mystery during its time as a private company. While its ties to the U.S. government were well-known, little else was understood about its operations. However, upon its entry into the public exchanges in late 2020, a rift quickly formed between retail investors and institutional funds.
Retail investors flocked to Palantir, largely due to their admiration for CEO Alex Karp, while Wall Street analysts expressed skepticism. Many saw the company as nothing more than a government contractor or consulting business, rather than a true enterprise software developer. Following a challenging year in 2022, which witnessed a significant sell-off, Palantir made a resounding comeback in 2023, with its stock surging by a staggering 167%.
The recent earnings report for the fourth quarter and full year of 2023 only further cemented Palantir's strength in debunking Wall Street's bearish arguments. The company has been able to forge ahead into the private sector, boldly challenging the perception that it is solely a government contractor.
While Palantir's reliance on large public-sector deals is undeniable, the company's management has emphasized its sophisticated data analytics capabilities rooted in AI. However, Wall Street analysts, such as Edwin Dorsey of The Bear Cave, dubiously labeled Palantir as an "AI imposter."
Crucially, Palantir's revenue trends reveal a clear shift towards the commercial sector, indicating that it is no longer playing second fiddle to its legacy government segment. For the trailing twelve-month period ending on December 31, 2023, the company experienced a 35% increase in total customer count. More notably, the commercial-sector customer count rose by a substantial 44%. This highlights Palantir's ability to attract new customers beyond government agencies, signaling vast untapped potential for future growth.
Palantir's entry into the private sector was markedly facilitated by its AI-powered product, the Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP), which was met with resounding success. The company's innovative lead-generation strategy, which involved hosting over 500 boot camps in 2023, significantly surpassed the previous year's 92 demo pilots. These boot camps allowed prospective customers to experience Palantir's products firsthand and utilize AI for their specific needs.
The significant growth in Palantir's commercial sector and the demand generated by AIP serve as a resounding rebuttal to the claim that it is merely a glorified government contractor. The success of its analytics software further establishes Palantir as an emerging AI leader among its big tech counterparts.
While some analysts may continue to hold onto their bearish stance, the recent price surge in Palantir's stock suggests that the company is gaining wider acceptance as a high-growth AI business. Critics who argue that the company's government business is decelerating fail to acknowledge the inherent volatility of public sector deals. Moreover, the initial doubts expressed by Wall Street about Palantir's reliance on government contracts now seem unfounded, as the company firmly establishes a robust business outside of its legacy government practice.
Despite the impressive run-up in its stock, Palantir still trades approximately 40% below its all-time highs. As investors seek exposure to high-growth AI businesses, Palantir presents a unique opportunity beyond megacap tech. For those looking to establish a long-term position, this could prove to be an intriguing and opportune moment.
DISCLOSURE: Adam Spatacco holds positions in Palantir Technologies, and The Motley Fool holds positions in and recommends Palantir Technologies, Lockheed Martin, and RTX.