United States Facing Threat of Losing Space Exploration Leadership to China

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ICARO Media Group
Politics
19/04/2024 18h06

In recent years, the United States has witnessed a surge in space exploration endeavors with numerous launches and significant advancements in space technology. However, China is rapidly catching up and could potentially surpass the US in space exploration and technology, posing a threat to its decades-long leadership.

China has achieved remarkable milestones in space exploration, including the success of the Long March 5B heavy-lift vehicle and the construction of the Tiangong space station. In 2019, China became the first country to "soft-land" a vehicle, the Chang'e 4 rover-lander duo, on the far side of the moon. The following year, the Chang'e 5 mission accomplished a sample-return mission from the moon.

China's recent accomplishment includes the launch of its relay satellite, Queqiao-2, on March 20, 2024. This milestone will enable China to conduct operations on the far side of the moon and pave the way for upcoming missions such as the Chang'e 6 lunar far side sample return mission later this year. China has also announced its plans for the Chang'e 7 lander and rover in 2026 and the Chang'e 8 mission in 2028, which will include a lunar In-Situ Resource Utilization (ISRU) demonstration. Moreover, China aims to conduct surface missions by its taikonauts by 2030 and accomplish a Mars Sample Return mission in the same year, highlighting its determination in the field of space exploration.

While China's accomplishments are still overshadowed by the US' achievements over the past 60 years, the rapid progress made by China is concerning. According to a 2022 Pentagon report, the US could lose its lead in space technology as early as 2045. The report emphasizes the urgent need for action, highlighting China's steeper rate of advancement and the lack of a clear long-term vision and strategy in the US.

Investment in space exploration is not only crucial for scientific discovery and inspiration but also holds significant economic, diplomatic, and national security implications. The US-China Economic and Security Review Commission's report to Congress reveals that China aims to dominate the space within the moon's orbit industrially, exploring its national security and economic potential.

The good news is that the United States still holds a clear advantage in this competition. Recent achievements, such as the successful launch of the Artemis 1 mission and the growing contribution of commercial entities, have expanded the nation's overall capacity to reach space. However, experts argue that there needs to be more public concern and motivation towards space exploration, similar to the public imagination and competition witnessed during the Space Race of the 1960s.

Although there is stable bipartisan support for space exploration, the lack of a sense of national urgency and focus from the Administration and Congress poses a potential risk. However, the bipartisan support seen over the past decade, particularly in the plan to send humans to the moon and Mars, should be embraced as evidence that unity on such issues can solidify and strengthen the nation's standing for years to come.

The article also highlights the need to learn from the lessons of the Apollo program, which saw remarkable success but was not sustainable from a budgetary or political perspective. It is crucial to avoid a similar fate by ensuring long-term commitment, funding, and political objectives in the pursuit of space exploration.

The race for space supremacy is not yet lost for the United States, but it requires a cohesive vision, sustained investment, and a sense of national urgency to ensure that it remains at the forefront of scientific discovery, innovation, and national security.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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