**Trump Takes Surprising Lead Over Harris in Michigan Poll**

In a surprising turn of events, the latest Emerson College survey indicates that former President Donald Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris in Michigan. This marks the first time Trump's lead has been noted in this poll since July, when Harris initially entered the race with significant media support.

Trump, who narrowly edged out Hillary Clinton in Michigan by just 0.2 percentage points in 2016, is now poised to secure a 49% to 48% lead over Harris, according to the poll conducted from October 25 to 27 among 1,000 likely voters. This tight margin is reflected in their favorability ratings as well, with Trump having an even split of 50% both favorable and unfavorable, while Harris stands at 49% favorable to 51% unfavorable.

Economic concerns appear to be the driving force behind Trump's resurgence in the Wolverine State. With 48% of Michigan voters highlighting economic issues as their primary concern, a significant 63% of these voters are backing Trump. In contrast, only 33% trust Harris to address these economic challenges effectively, a legacy of the Biden administration under which she has served for four years.

Immigration is another critical issue that favors Trump. Of the 9% of voters who consider the border situation their main voting issue, a staggering 96% support Trump over Harris. Despite her previous role as the “border czar,” Harris has struggled to gain voter confidence in this area.

Additionally, union household voters in Michigan show a split in support. Harris leads among union households with 55% compared to Trump's 41%, whereas non-union households lean towards Trump with 52% to Harris's 46%.

Even though Trump seems to have an edge over Harris, the race remains incredibly close, suggesting intense scrutiny on the vote count next week. On the other hand, the polling news isn't as favorable for GOP Senate hopeful Mike Rogers. In the Senate race to replace outgoing Democrat Debbie Stabenow, Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin holds a narrow lead over Rogers, 48% to 46%.

Interestingly, independent voters show a nuanced approach in their choices. While they slightly favor Trump for the presidency, with a 47% to 45% split, they are more inclined towards Slotkin in the Senate race, supporting her 49% to Rogers's 40%.