**Trump Leads Harris in Ohio, Moreno Edges Out Brown in Senate Race, According to Poll**

A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey reveals that former President Donald Trump holds a significant lead over Vice President Kamala Harris among Ohio voters, with 54% expressing support for Trump and 42% backing Harris. The poll, conducted from October 30 to November 2, 2024, also notes a small percentage of voters—2%—planning to vote for a third-party candidate, while another 2% remain undecided.

The survey shows a minor shift in voter preferences since the previous poll in early September, where Trump led Harris by ten points. The latest findings indicate Trump’s support has increased by one percentage point to 54%, while Harris' backing has slightly decreased by one point to 42%.

In the race for the U.S. Senate, Republican candidate Bernie Moreno is slightly ahead with 48% support compared to Democratic incumbent Sherrod Brown, who has 45% support. However, 6% of voters are still undecided. Factoring in these undecided voters, the poll suggests Moreno could secure up to 52% of the vote, against Brown’s potential 48%. Early voting trends show Brown leading with 52% to Moreno’s 48%, but Moreno has the advantage among those planning to vote in person, 48% to 43%.

Emerson College Polling’s executive director, Spencer Kimball, notes that 8% of voters are splitting their ticket, with 2% of Harris supporters backing Brown and 6% of Trump supporters doing the same. Independent voters appear to favor Moreno, with 47% supporting him versus 42% for Brown.

Donald Trump’s favorability among Ohio voters stands at 54%, while his unfavorability is 46%. Vice President Harris, on the other hand, has a favorability rating of 44%, with 56% of voters holding an unfavorable view of her. The poll further reveals that a majority of Ohio voters, 58%, disapprove of President Joe Biden’s job performance, whereas 33% approve.

When asked about the most pressing issues, 44% of Ohio voters identified the economy as their top concern. Other significant issues include threats to democracy (13%), immigration (11%), abortion access (7%), housing affordability (7%), and healthcare (6%).

The data for this poll was meticulously collected through a combination of cell phone MMS-to-web texts, landline Interactive Voice Response (IVR) calls, and an online panel of voters. The survey's methodology ensures a credible interval, resembling a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points, given the survey sample of 900 likely voters.