### Tight Presidential Race as Trump Erodes Harris' Lead, New Polls Show

In a surprising turn of events, former President Donald Trump has closed the narrow lead previously held by Vice President Kamala Harris, resulting in an exceptionally close presidential race. National polls released on Saturday reveal remarkable gains for Trump, with just 10 days remaining before Election Day.

The latest Emerson College Polling national survey, conducted between October 23 and 24 among 1,000 likely voters, shows a dead heat with both Harris and Trump each garnering 49 percent support. With only 1 percent of voters undecided and another 1 percent planning to back a third-party candidate, the poll's margin of error stands at plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Gender demographics reveal significant trends: male voters are favoring Trump by a 13-point margin—55 percent to 42 percent—while women prefer Harris by 10 points, with 54 percent to Trump's 44 percent. However, Harris' support among women falls short compared to President Joe Biden's in the 2020 election.

When respondents were asked who they expect will win the presidency regardless of their personal preferences, Trump had a slight edge over Harris, 50.4 percent to 48.5 percent. In terms of favorability, Harris achieved a dead-even split of 50 percent favorability whereas 51 percent of respondents viewed Trump unfavorably.

The trend of growing support for Trump aligns with results from other national polls. The Emerson College poll from mid-October had Harris with a 1 percent lead, now entirely neutralized. Likewise, a New York Times/Siena College poll conducted between October 20 and 23 among 2,516 registered voters also shows a deadlock, with both candidates receiving 48 percent support. This poll has a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points.

Another survey by the Wall Street Journal, conducted from October 19 to 22 among 1,500 registered voters, reports Trump leading Harris by 2 percentage points, 47 to 45 percent. Here, the margin of error is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points, with 3 percent undecided and 2 percent supporting Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who is no longer in the race.

The electoral prospects rest heavily on key battleground states rather than the national popular vote. Recent forecasts by pollsters such as Nate Silver suggest a slight advantage for Trump, giving him a 53.4 percent chance of winning the presidency, while FiveThirtyEight's forecast on Saturday predicts a 53 percent chance for Trump versus a 47 percent chance for Harris.

As the days tick down to Election Day, both campaigns are ramping up efforts in the critical final stretch of this tightly contested race.