Title: Trump Leads in Key Battleground States, Poised for Electoral Vote Victory

https://icaro.icaromediagroup.com/system/images/photos/16383608/original/open-uri20241028-17-crcm4b?1730159005
ICARO Media Group
Politics
28/10/2024 22h58

**New Polls Predict Strong Electoral Vote Lead for Trump in Key Battleground States**

Recent polling across crucial battleground states indicates that former President Donald Trump is leading the race against Democratic nominee Kamala Harris, potentially paving the way for his return to the White House with 280 electoral votes. The surveys, conducted by Insider Advantage and the Trafalgar Group, cover key states including Pennsylvania, Michigan, Arizona, and Georgia.

In Pennsylvania, home to 19 electoral votes, the latest Insider Advantage poll gives Trump a narrow 48% to 47% edge over Harris among 800 likely voters. This slim lead is consistent with the state's polling average, showing the former president ahead by approximately half a percentage point. Notably, Trump had previously won Pennsylvania in 2016 by 0.73% but lost it in 2020 by 1.17%. The slight difference among Hispanic voters, where Harris leads 42% to 40%, underscores the competitiveness of the race. This close race extends to the Senate, where incumbent Democrat Bob Casey and Republican challenger David McCormick are locked at 47% each.

In Michigan, which carries 15 electoral votes, Trump holds a similar 48% to 47% advantage according to Insider Advantage's survey of 800 likely voters. With 3% favoring another option and 2% undecided, the polling reflects an almost identical race to Pennsylvania. Historically, Trump won Michigan in 2016 by a mere 0.2% but lost in 2020 by 2.8%. The Senate race to replace outgoing Democrat Debbie Stabenow is similarly tied, with Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin and Republican Mike Rogers each garnering 48% support.

Trafalgar Group's poll in Arizona, conducted with 1,084 likely voters from October 24 to October 26, shows Trump leading Harris by 48% to 46% in the race for the state’s 11 electoral votes. Despite Trump's lead, his influence does not appear to extend to the Senate race, where Republican Kari Lake trails Democrat Ruben Gallego 50% to 46%. Trump previously won Arizona in 2016 but narrowly lost it in 2020 by 0.3%.

In Georgia, with 16 electoral votes at stake, Trump also leads Harris 48% to 46%, as per Trafalgar’s survey of 1,087 likely voters. Here, the race includes 1% of voters preferring another candidate and 5% undecided. Trump narrowly lost Georgia to Biden in 2020 by 0.2%.

These close races across the four states emphasize the highly competitive nature of the 2024 election, with Trump potentially regaining lost ground from his previous campaign.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

Related