**Tight Race in Battleground States as Election Day Nears, Polls Show**

With the presidential election just two days away, fresh polling indicates a razor-thin race in six of the seven key battleground states, leaving only Arizona with a clear frontrunner. According to the latest New York Times and Siena College survey, former President Donald Trump holds a notable lead in Arizona, polling at 49% compared to Vice President Kamala Harris's 45%.

In Pennsylvania and Michigan, the competition is fierce, with both Trump and Harris receiving equal support — 48% each in Pennsylvania and 47% each in Michigan. Harris holds narrow leads within the margin of error among likely voters in Nevada (49% to 46%), North Carolina (48% to 46%), Wisconsin (49% to 47%), and Georgia (48% to 47%).

Should these polling results materialize on Election Day, Harris would secure 264 of the 270 Electoral College votes required to win the presidency. These findings are based on head-to-head matchups between the 78-year-old Trump and 60-year-old Harris.

Introducing third-party candidates into the mix shifts the numbers slightly. Arizona continues to favor Trump at 48% to 44%, while Georgia remains a tie at 46%. Michigan and Nevada show equal support for both candidates, each polling at 45% and 46% respectively. Harris edges out in North Carolina at 48% to 45% and in Wisconsin at 48% to 45%, while Pennsylvania swings towards Trump at 47% to Harris's 46%.

The results from Georgia and North Carolina are of particular interest, given these states are Trump's second and third-best performing battlegrounds according to RealClearPolitics (RCP) aggregate data, with Arizona being his top. RCP's no-tossup battleground state map gives Trump a slight edge in all battleground states except Wisconsin and Michigan.

A potential red flag for Trump comes from the New York Times/Siena College poll, which shows that voters who have recently made up their minds lean towards Harris. Among the 8% of voters who decided recently, 55% back Harris while 44% support Trump. This is a notable factor in an extremely tight race, as indicated by various polls.

Approximately 11% of voters remain undecided or open to changing their vote, the poll notes. Surveying 7,879 likely voters across key states — including 1,025 in Arizona, 1,004 in Georgia, 1,010 in Nevada, 998 in Michigan, 1,010 in North Carolina, 1,305 in Wisconsin, and 1,527 in Pennsylvania — the survey was conducted from October 24 to November 2 and holds a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Trump campaign pollster Tony Fabrizio criticized the poll, suggesting it leans left compared to voter registration and early voting data, which he says indicate a rightward shift in every state.

Prominent analysts, including polling expert Nate Silver, have raised concerns recently that some polls might be "herding" results to avoid standing out as outliers. This follows years of criticism aimed at pollsters for underestimating Trump’s support in 2016 and 2020 and overestimating Republican support in the 2022 midterm elections.

Adding another twist, a recent Des Moines Register poll by J. Ann Selzer showed Harris leading Trump in Iowa by 47% to 44%. This is significant as Iowa is traditionally considered a red state; Trump won it by an 8-point margin in 2020.

AtlasIntel, known for its accurate 2020 election predictions, recently found Trump leading in seven battleground states, including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, with Trump performing outside the margin of error in four of these states.

As of now, over 70 million Americans have already cast their votes, signaling a highly engaged electorate as the final countdown to Election Day begins.