Potential Economic Impact and Business Influences under Trump's Return
ICARO Media Group
### Trump's Return Likely to Raise Costs and Influence Business Dynamics
The economy remains a pivotal issue for most voters, and with Donald Trump's return to the White House, there's potential for an increase in the price of everyday items. A significant part of Trump's campaign was his proposal to impose tariffs on foreign-made goods, a move he argues would revitalize U.S. manufacturing. However, experts firmly agree that consumers would primarily bear the brunt of these tariffs. According to Ernie Tedeschi, Director of Economics at Yale Budget Lab, such tariffs could cause monthly household expenses on items like clothing, housewares, and electronics to rise by an average of 1.5% to 5.1%.
Elon Musk, the billionaire CEO of Tesla and one of Trump’s strongest supporters, stands to gain significantly, though his exact role in the administration remains unclear. Musk has publicly entertained the idea of leading a "Department of Government Efficiency," aiming to cut $2 trillion or more from the federal budget. The announcement of Trump's victory saw Tesla's shares surge by 15%, boosting Musk's net worth by $21 billion to $285.6 billion.
Trump's re-election caused ripple effects across the financial markets. The U.S. dollar and bond yields increased, reflecting investor optimism in economic growth tempered by inflation concerns. All major U.S. indexes hit new highs, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average experiencing its most considerable point gain since April 2020. Leading the charge in stock gains were S&P companies like Tesla, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and JPMorgan Chase, each of which saw an increase of at least 11%.
Jeff Greene, a real estate mogul and registered Democrat from Palm Beach, Florida, expressed cautious optimism about the economy under another Trump administration, despite his concerns about national debt. Greene emphasized the importance of finding ways to raise revenue and cut expenses without harming those with legitimate economic needs.
Trump’s initial focus in office includes immigration, the Iran nuclear deal, the Russia-Ukraine war, and the oil and gas industry, according to advisors. Plans are already in motion to reinstitute border policies from his first term and to boost drilling activities. There is also the possibility of Trump leveraging more influence over the Supreme Court, with speculation about older justices potentially retiring to allow for new conservative appointments.
Trump has indicated plans to appoint vaccine skeptic Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to a key health role, potentially as a "health czar." Kennedy aims to remove fluoride from drinking water, a move poised to spark controversy.
President-elect Trump has also suggested using the FBI and Justice Department to prosecute his political rivals, eyeing figures like President Joe Biden and former Attorney General Bill Barr. This controversial stance signals a potential for increased political upheaval and retribution.
The election saw a notable response from conservative billionaires expressing support for Trump on social media, while liberal counterparts largely refrained from posting as results came in. Trump's strong showing in key demographics like Black voters and young people contributed to his decisive victory.
For Americans looking ahead, it’s crucial to secure financial stability by managing cash flow, building emergency funds, setting clear financial goals, and staying informed on new tax and healthcare policies that could affect their financial well-being. Interest in relocating abroad spiked following the election, with a significant surge in Google searches for information on moving to other countries.