Multiple snap surveys conducted over the weekend reveal varying opinions on the recent conviction of former President Donald Trump on 34 felony counts related to falsifying business records. While some polls suggest a majority of adults believe the jury reached the correct verdict, others display the unwavering support of Republicans for Trump.

According to a CBS News/YouGov poll, 57% of adults agreed with the verdict. This sentiment was corroborated by a Morning Consult poll, where 54% of registered voters expressed approval, and an ABC News/Ipsos survey, where 50% of adults agreed with the verdict. These results align with pre-verdict polls, which consistently showed that a slight majority believed the charges against Trump were serious and that he should be held accountable like any other individual facing similar accusations.

A Reuters/Ipsos poll specifically highlighted a noteworthy finding: 1 in 10 Republicans claimed they were less likely to vote for Trump after the verdict. However, it is important to note that these voters represent a clear minority within the party. In fact, the same poll revealed that 55% of Republican voters felt the verdict would not influence their vote, while 34% said it made them more likely to support Trump. Interestingly, these numbers closely mirrored the findings of an NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll conducted prior to the verdict.

Despite the potential significance of even a small percentage of Republicans defecting from Trump, the current major takeaway is the overwhelming support he enjoys from 9 in 10 Republicans, as shown in the Reuters/Ipsos poll. This finding holds significant importance as the 2024 presidential election approaches.

Two of the polls, namely Reuters/Ipsos and Morning Consult, also measured the preferences in a hypothetical race between President Joe Biden and Trump after the verdict. Although Biden saw a slight movement in his favor, the results fell within the margin of error and resembled earlier national surveys conducted before the verdict. Moreover, an ABC News/Ipsos poll indicated that the favorability ratings for both Trump and Biden remained essentially unchanged from a previous survey conducted in March.

While these numbers suggest a close race, it is crucial to remember that the outcome cannot be determined solely by national polls with results showing a slight margin difference. The Electoral College system further complicates the prediction of the ultimate winner. Additionally, analysts emphasize that Thursday's guilty verdict may not be the sole major twist in the 2024 presidential election.

However, the ABC News/Ipsos poll highlights the opinions of independents, a group worth monitoring for any shifts. A slight majority of independents believed the verdict was correct and expressed their desire for Trump to end his candidacy. These views were even more pronounced among individuals who held unfavorable views of both Biden and Trump, implying that about two-thirds of this group believed the verdict was correct and felt that Trump should withdraw from the race.

It is important to recognize that snap polls conducted immediately after historic events, such as the first conviction of a former American president on criminal charges, may not always accurately predict future outcomes. Analysts and experts emphasize the need to track the trends in polls over the next week or two to develop a more comprehensive understanding of public sentiment.