**Memo Highlights Trump's Strengths, Warns of Polling Variability in Tight Race**

A recent internal memo from Tony Fabrizio, chief pollster for Donald Trump's presidential campaigns, indicates that the former president is in a significantly stronger position now than he was before the 2020 election. This communication reflects the current high spirits among Trump’s team and supporters.

Despite this confidence, reality tells a different story. Current polling data portrays the 2024 race as tightly contested, with the New York Times showing both Trump and Vice President Harris tied at 48%. Meanwhile, 538's average has Harris slightly ahead by 1 point, which is within the polls' margin of error.

Fabrizio’s memo, addressed to "TEAM TRUMP" and titled "PRESIDENT TRUMP IS ON THE VERGE," builds on this confidence. It emphasizes the importance of not getting distracted by fluctuating public polling in the final days leading up to the election. He urges the team to remain focused on their closing message, convincing undecided voters and mobilizing their base.

Axios journalist Zachary Basu recently highlighted the hyper-confidence within MAGA circles, describing it as an "air of inevitability" that clashes with the tight polling margins suggesting an unpredictable outcome.

Beyond the Trump camp's certainty, there is also notable skepticism within the Democratic Party. While President Biden and many of his close advisers dismiss current poor poll numbers as inaccurate, some high-level Democrats are concerned that's leading to complacency. According to sources, there's a call for more urgency within Biden’s reelection campaign to address the real threat posed by Donald Trump.

Prominent Democratic strategists, including Jim Messina, who managed Barack Obama's reelection campaign, often caution against excessive worry. However, the gravity of the situation suggests that concern is warranted. One strategist pointed out the perceived urgency: "It's hard to call it bedwetting when it's Barack Obama."

As Election Day nears, both campaigns are keenly aware of the stakes. While Trump’s team exudes confidence, the Democrats are urged to face the challenges head-on, ensuring that neither side takes victory for granted in what remains an exceptionally close race.