**Trump Pulls Ahead of Harris in Key Swing States, New Poll Reveals**

According to a recent poll by AtlasIntel, Donald Trump is leading Kamala Harris in five out of seven critical swing states. These states are expected to be pivotal in deciding the outcome of the upcoming election. The survey, which focused on likely voters in these battleground regions, indicates a significant edge for Trump in several states.

In Michigan, Trump is ahead with 50.6 percent while Harris trails with 47.2 percent. Similarly, in Pennsylvania, Trump leads with 51 percent compared to Harris's 48.1 percent. Trump's narrow advantages extend to Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, where he's polling at 49.8 percent, 49.6 percent, and 49.7 percent, respectively, against Harris's figures of 48.6 percent, 49 percent, and 48.2 percent.

Conversely, Harris holds a lead in North Carolina, with 50.5 percent to Trump’s 48.1 percent, and Nevada, with 50.5 percent to 47.7 percent. If Trump secures victories in all five of the states where he currently leads, he would win the 2024 race with 290 Electoral College votes to Harris' 248.

The poll, conducted between September 20-25, comes with a margin of error of 2-3 percentage points, except in Pennsylvania where it is 2 points. AtlasIntel, recognized by 538 as the most accurate polling group of the 2020 presidential election, underscored the potential ramifications of these figures.

For Harris, retaining the three "blue wall" states of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan is crucial to securing the necessary 270 Electoral College votes. Trump, on the other hand, could achieve a victory by winning Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia alone, or by focusing on key Sun Belt states such as Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, and Nevada, along with either Wisconsin or Michigan.

The poll suggests Harris's lead in North Carolina might be influenced by the controversy surrounding Trump-endorsed gubernatorial candidate Mark Robinson, who faces various accusations, including a self-description as a "Black Nazi" on a message board years ago. David B. McLennan, a political science professor and pollster at Meredith University, previously indicated that Trump might be "somewhat inoculated" from Robinson’s controversies due to the state's history of ticket-splitting. However, McLennan also noted that losing even a few percentage points could be significant in such a tight race.

The AtlasIntel surveys included 946 likely voters in Arizona, 1,200 in Georgia, 918 in Michigan, 1,173 in North Carolina, 1,775 in Pennsylvania, and 1,077 in Wisconsin.