Vice President Kamala Harris has surpassed Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump in a tightly contested national polling average, according to aggregation website Race to the WH. The data, collated from 128 national polls, reveals that as of Friday, Harris holds a narrow lead with 47 percent, compared to Trump's 46.9 percent. This marks the first time this year that Harris has overtaken the former president in the polling average, shaking up the electoral landscape.

Election analyst and statistician Nate Silver's prediction model also indicates a marginal lead for Harris. As of Thursday, the model places Harris at 44.8 percent, just ahead of Trump's 44.1 percent. However, both prediction models still project a potential Electoral College victory for Trump, with Race to the WH estimating 275 electoral votes for the GOP compared to the Democrats' 256. Silver's model suggests Trump has a 54.9 percent chance of winning the Electoral College, while Harris lags behind at 44.6 percent.

Despite Trump's advantage, Race to the WH's prediction model reveals that Harris has significantly narrowed the Electoral College gap in the two weeks since becoming the Democrats' presumptive nominee. Previously, in June, Trump was projected to secure 302 Electoral College votes, while the Democrats were anticipated to win 236. Harris' favorable polling results since launching her campaign have contributed to the narrowing of this gap, indicating a competitive race for the upcoming November elections.

One poll conducted by Leger between July 26 and 28 highlights Harris' progress, showing her leading Trump with a 3-point margin at 49 percent to his 46 percent in a head-to-head matchup. This represents a 4-point increase for the Democratic candidate since Leger's June poll. Another survey by Morning Consult, conducted after Biden ended his reelection campaign, indicates a tighter race, with Trump holding a 2-point lead over Harris. However, this follows a previous poll that put Trump four points ahead of Biden.

Furthermore, Harris is also leading Trump in several key swing states that could prove crucial in determining the outcome of the November election. A Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll conducted from July 24 to 28 reveals Harris holding an average 1-point lead over Trump in swing states, emerging victorious at 48 percent compared to Trump's 47 percent. Notably, Harris leads Trump by the widest margin in Michigan, with 53 percent to his 42 percent. She also maintains a slight advantage in Arizona (49 percent to 47 percent), Nevada (47 percent to 45 percent), and Wisconsin (49 percent to 47 percent). However, Trump still maintains a 4-point lead in Pennsylvania (50 percent to 46 percent), and the candidates are tied in Georgia at 47 percent.

The Race to the WH prediction model aligns with the swing state polls, showcasing Harris leading Trump in Michigan (49.1 percent to 46.5 percent), Wisconsin (49.5 percent to 47.8 percent), and Nevada (45.9 percent to 45.4 percent). Conversely, she trails behind Trump in Arizona (48.8 percent to 46.6 percent), Pennsylvania (48.1 percent to 47.8 percent), and Georgia (48.3 percent to 47.2 percent). These numbers underline the intense competition between the candidates as they vie for support in crucial battleground states.

With the electoral race heating up, Kamala Harris' rise in the national polling average and performance in swing states indicates a potential shift in public sentiment. As the campaigns intensify in the coming months, both candidates will continue to strategize in an effort to secure victory and emerge as the next President of the United States.