Kamala Harris Now Favored Over Donald Trump in November Election, as Post-Debate Polls Show Positive Shift

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ICARO Media Group
Politics
19/09/2024 15h41

Vice President Kamala Harris has surged ahead of former President Donald Trump as the bookmakers' favorite to win the November election, following a successful debate performance that has resonated with voters in key swing states. According to post-debate polls, Harris has experienced a significant boost in her favorability, solidifying her position as a frontrunner in the race.

Based on data from the Election Betting Odds tracker, which combines numbers from four different betting markets, Harris now commands a 54.2% chance of winning the presidency. This places her nearly 10 points ahead of Trump, who currently stands at 44.7%. The impressive lead reflects the growing confidence among bettors that Harris will secure the highest office in the land.

Furthermore, national polls indicate that Harris enjoys a 3.3% lead over Trump, according to the weighted average calculated by FiveThirtyEight. This statistical advantage indicates a favorable trend for the vice president, as she continues to gain traction and support nationwide.

Looking ahead, there is a 32% likelihood, as estimated by Polymarket bookmakers, that a second debate will take place between Harris and Trump. While this percentage has increased slightly within the past 24 hours, it should be noted that the former president has expressed his reluctance to partake in a rematch.

The latest polls and betting numbers demonstrate the shifting dynamics of the presidential race, with Kamala Harris emerging as a strong contender for the November election. As the campaign unfolds, it remains to be seen how both candidates will navigate the remaining debates and engage with voters on critical issues.

With Harris's significant lead in betting odds and positive reception in post-debate polling, her campaign aims to maintain momentum and build upon this surge of support. Conversely, Donald Trump faces the challenge of gaining ground and overcoming the mounting favorability for his opponent.

As the election draws nearer, the American public eagerly awaits further developments in this closely contested race. The debates and future campaign events will undoubtedly play a crucial role in shaping the overall outcome, ultimately determining who will be the 46th President of the United States.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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