Kamala Harris Holds Slight Lead over Donald Trump in Latest Presidential Race Poll
ICARO Media Group
In the race for the White House, Vice President Kamala Harris seems to be pulling ahead of former President Donald Trump, according to the latest poll conducted by Quantus. The survey reveals that Harris, the presumptive Democratic nominee, has secured the support of 47.2% of registered voters, while Trump, the GOP nominee, has the backing of 45.9%. With fewer than 7% of voters still undecided, the competition remains tight.
Pollsters point out that the race is within the margin of error, noting that Harris holds a marginal lead over Trump. The overall public opinion of the candidates remains divided. Approximately 48% of respondents expressed either a very favorable or favorable opinion of Harris, whereas 49% stated an unfavorable view. Conversely, 45% held a favorable opinion of Trump, while 53% regarded him unfavorably.
When analyzing voter preferences based on gender, the poll reveals a stark divide. Trump maintains a lead among men with 52% support, while Harris is favored among women, with 53% supporting her candidacy. Age is another significant factor influencing voter choices. Trump enjoys stronger support among older voters between the ages of 50-64, securing 48% of their preference, while Harris performs better among younger voters aged 18-34, with an equal level of support.
Independents also play a crucial role in the race, with Harris holding a slight 1 percentage point lead over Trump among this group, obtaining 44% compared to his 43%. Racial and ethnic demographics also show significant variations. Harris emerges as the overwhelming choice for Black and Hispanic voters, receiving 77% and 54% of their support, respectively. In contrast, 53% of white voters back Trump.
Educational background also plays a role in shaping voter preferences. College graduates tend to lean towards Harris, with 53% supporting her, while Trump has a stronger appeal among those without a college degree, garnering the preference of 49% of this group. Geographically, Harris holds the lead in the Northeast with 49% support, as well as in the West with 51% support. Trump, on the other hand, polls better in the Midwest with 47% support and in the South with 50% support.
The Quantas poll, conducted on August 7-8, surveyed 1,000 voters, with a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points. Tracking by FiveThirtyEight.com on a national level places Harris ahead of Trump by an average of 2.3 percentage points, with 45.7% in favor of Harris and 43.4% in favor of Trump. The pollsters expect that 95% of the averages will fall within this range.
As the election approaches, American voters continue to closely follow the race, keeping a watchful eye on the trends and shifts in public opinion. With the candidates attracting different supporters from various demographics, every percentage point gained or lost can make a significant impact on the final outcome.