Biden's Potential Last-Minute Battle to the Convention Sparks Speculation Among Democrats
ICARO Media Group
As Joe Biden's campaign continues to face criticism and doubts following Thursday's debate, Democratic officials and operatives are starting to ponder the possibility of a contentious race leading up to the August convention. While no firm actions or commitments have been made, key figures within the Democratic Party are closely monitoring the moves of prospective opponents and considering the potential ramifications of different scenarios.
Multiple individuals connected to other candidates express concerns over the "interesting timing" of fundraising appeals from Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's PAC, pointing out her victory in a key battleground state as a possible mission statement for her presidential aspirations. Over two dozen top Democratic officials, political operatives, and donors associated with Biden and potential replacements, who requested anonymity due to the sensitive nature of the situation, share a sense of fear regarding various outcomes.
One top Democratic official describes the potential aftermath as a "Category 5 hurricane," emphasizing the sheer destruction that would be unleashed if Biden were to step aside. However, some individuals believe that a successful change in the nominee could still result in a victory against President Trump, rallying behind whomever the Democratic Party selects.
A recent CBS News/YouGov poll reveals that only 55% of registered Democratic voters believe Biden should continue running, with 45% suggesting he should step aside. Biden's campaign counters the speculation by highlighting positive metrics such as increased grassroots fundraising and a surge in job applications since Thursday.
With the power to control most of the delegates, as he won all the primaries, Biden holds a significant advantage in deciding whether someone else will become the nominee. Yet, multiple Democratic officials express frustration that Biden's ego prevents him from stepping aside despite concerns about his ability to defeat Trump.
Campaign aides assert not only that Biden will not drop out, but also that no candidate could fare better against Trump. They argue that Biden's history, accomplishments, and prior victory over the current president make him the strongest contender. However, doubts persist among Democratic officials and operatives who question whether Biden's inner circle can effectively guide him towards an exit or recovery.
Amidst the speculation and uncertainty, leading figures within the Democratic Party, including potential replacements like Kamala Harris, J.B. Pritzker, Gretchen Whitmer, and others, have publicly voiced their support for Biden. They fear being labeled as traitors or aggravating Biden's resistance to stepping aside.
While Harris appears to have an early advantage if Biden were to withdraw suddenly, pressure would mount for him to endorse his vice president as the replacement. Harris's impeccable loyalty and the convention hall filled with devoted Biden delegates could significantly impact the outcome.
While Harris has her advantages, being relatively unknown among some voters could work in her favor, avoiding entrenched negative feelings associated with other candidates. However, this also means her past and record have not been scrutinized to the same extent as during her abbreviated presidential campaign and time as a running mate and vice president.
Additionally, Harris would be the only candidate legally able to take over the existing operation and access the funds already raised. This fact, overlooked by the Biden campaign in a recent email to supporters, emphasizes the potential challenges faced by an alternative candidate starting from scratch.
Despite the speculation and varying opinions within the Democratic Party, Biden's supporters maintain their loyalty and argue that he remains the best chance for victory. As the campaign navigates this tumultuous period, prominent figures like former interim chair of the Democratic National Committee Donna Brazile and Democratic operative Stephanie Cutter have been dispatched to quash rumors and affirm their commitment to Biden.
While some Democrats have expressed concerns over Biden's age, New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy reiterates his support, highlighting Biden's ability to unite the broad interests of the party.
As uncertainty lingers, Democrats await further developments while closely monitoring the actions and statements of potential replacements. The road to the convention remains uncertain, but one thing remains clear - the Democratic Party is preparing for any potential outcome.