Biden Maintains Lead Over Trump in Recent Polls as Election Approaches

ICARO Media Group
Politics
15/04/2024 20h11

With seven months remaining until the highly anticipated presidential election, incumbent President Joe Biden is currently leading his Republican challenger, Donald Trump, in a series of recent polls. According to ten separate polls conducted in the past month, Biden has garnered a higher level of support, although experts caution that it is still premature to predict the final outcome, as other polls indicate a closer race.

In one of the polls, which surveyed 1,053 adults from March 15 to March 17, Biden gained the support of 47 percent of respondents, while Trump received 45 percent. However, when accounting for all voters, both candidates held an equal share at 44 percent each, highlighting the importance of turning out the entire electorate. The margin of error for this poll was +/- 3.0 percent.

Another poll conducted between April 1 and April 4, encompassing 1,679 voters, revealed that 44 percent of high propensity voters expressed their intention to vote for Biden, whereas 43 percent indicated support for Trump. This poll carried a margin of error of 2.4 percent.

Furthermore, a survey by Data for Progress, which involved 1,200 likely voters from March 27 to March 29, found that Biden secured 47 percent support, with Trump close behind at 46 percent. The margin of error for this poll was +/- 3 percentage points.

An Ipsos poll conducted for Reuters in early April among 833 registered voters indicated that Biden maintained a lead with 41 percent of voter support, while Trump received 37 percent. The survey carried a margin of error of 4 percentage points and was conducted between April 5 and 9.

Similarly, a March 27 poll of 1,407 registered voters demonstrated that 48 percent supported Biden, whereas 45 percent favored Trump. The margin of error for this survey was +/-2.6 percentage points.

When assessing likely voters between March 18 and March 2028, a poll showed that 45 percent would vote for Biden, while 44 percent would support Trump. However, in the poll of registered voters, Trump received 44 percent of support, compared to 42 percent for Biden.

A Marist College poll conducted from March 25 to March 28 among 1,305 registered voters disclosed that Biden had the support of 50 percent, while Trump gained 48 percent. The poll involved 1,199 participants and carried a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points.

In another poll of 1,265 registered voters conducted from April 3 to April 5, 43 percent expressed support for Biden, while Trump received 40 percent. The margin of error for this poll was +/- 2.8 percentage points.

According to a poll of 2,510 registered voters, 44 percent would vote for Biden, while 43 percent would vote for Trump. This survey was carried out from March 11 to March 15, with a margin of error of +/- 2 percent.

Additionally, a Democratic super PAC, Progress Action Fund, conducted a poll in partnership with Public Policy Polling, revealing that Biden held a slight lead over Trump by 46 percent to 45 percent. The poll, which surveyed 837 registered voters between March 12 and March 13, carried a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points.

Heath Brown, an associate professor of public policy at City University of New York, acknowledged that the race remains "very close." Brown emphasized the significance of analyzing multiple polls and trends rather than drawing conclusions from isolated results. The professor believes that the ensuing months will witness a tightly contested campaign, and he anticipates that the polls will continue to reflect this until November.

As the November 5 election date approaches, speculation surrounding its outcome will persist, fueled by ongoing polls and expert analysis.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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