Betting Odds Favor Trump Over Harris for Presidential Race

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ICARO Media Group
Politics
28/10/2024 23h26

### Trump Leads Harris in Betting Odds for Presidential Race

If you were considering betting on Donald Trump to win the presidency, you might want to act quickly. The former president is currently seeing a surge in momentum, at least according to betting markets. Realclearpolling reports that Trump now holds a 61.1 percent chance of securing the election victory based on wagers placed across eight different betting sites. His main competitor, Kamala Harris, holds a significantly lower probability of 37.5 percent.

The outlook for Harris is grim across the board. On BetOnline, the odds favor Trump 63-36. Betfair shows a 58-37 split, and both Betsson and Bwin have it at 60-40 in favor of Trump. Points Bets mirrors this with a 60-40 split, while Bovada shows Trump with 64-36 odds. On Polymarket, the figures stand at 63-32, and Smarkets lists a 58-38 division. In all these markets, Trump emerges as the favorite candidate.

There are reasons for the disparity between polls and betting odds. Polls paint a tighter race, but betting markets operate differently. Bookmakers generally aim for balanced betting on both sides to maximize their revenue from the 'juice.' However, this balance hasn't been achieved. Additionally, a significant factor skewing the betting markets is a colossal $45 million bet placed on Trump’s victory by a single individual from France, as reported by Polymarket. Such a substantial wager has dramatically shifted Trump's odds and the corresponding payouts.

Despite the variance in betting odds, polls still show Trump in the lead, though by a closer margin. Nevertheless, the betting markets clearly indicate where much of the money and confidence currently lie.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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