Analyzing the Impact of the U.S. Presidential Election on Tesla's Future and Market Position

ICARO Media Group
Politics
05/11/2024 23h18

### Tesla's Future Tied to U.S. Presidential Election Outcome

The outcome of the U.S. Presidential Election is poised to have significant ramifications for Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA). Tesla's CEO, Elon Musk, has shown considerable support for Donald Trump, including substantial donations to Trump's campaign and public endorsements. However, Trump's critical stance on the electric vehicle (EV) industry raises questions about potential impacts on Tesla and the broader EV market.

Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives provides a nuanced perspective, suggesting a Trump presidency might have mixed outcomes for Tesla. According to Ives, while the EV sector could suffer from the likely removal of rebates and tax incentives under Trump, Tesla's dominant industry position could still afford it a competitive advantage. Tesla's expansive reach and well-established infrastructure could help it maintain its lead, even in a market potentially devoid of subsidies.

Another consideration is the effect of anticipated higher tariffs on Chinese imports. Such tariffs could restrict the U.S. market entry for affordable EVs from Chinese manufacturers like BYD and Nio, further bolstering Tesla's dominance. Additionally, Trump may expedite certain initiatives related to full self-driving (FSD) and autonomous technology, which could be beneficial for both Tesla and its competitors like Waymo.

However, there are significant concerns as well. Ives warns that a Trump victory could provoke retaliatory measures from Beijing, sparking a trade war that poses considerable risks for Tesla. With over 40% of Tesla's deliveries stemming from China and a substantial part of its production based in Giga Shanghai, heightened geopolitical tensions could negatively impact Tesla's operations and revenue.

Overall, while some aspects of a Trump presidency might offer short-term benefits to Tesla, the long-term implications, especially regarding U.S.-China relations, present substantial risks. Investors and stakeholders will need to closely monitor the evolving political landscape as it continues to influence Tesla's strategic decisions and market position.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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