**Harris More Likely Than Trump to Sweep Swing States, Nate Silver's Forecast Shows**

In a surprising new forecast, analyst Nate Silver's model suggests that Vice President Kamala Harris has a stronger chance of winning all seven key swing states compared to former President Donald Trump. According to Silver, there are 128 possible ways in which the swing states of Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia could be decided. Out of the 70,000 simulations conducted, Harris winning all seven swing states appeared 15,273 times, making it the most likely outcome. In contrast, Trump sweeping the same states occurred 13,912 times.

Silver estimates there's about a 40 percent probability that either Harris or Trump will secure all seven swing states. As of his latest forecast on Sunday morning, Harris had a 56 percent chance of winning the Electoral College, whereas Trump trailed with a 44 percent chance.

"I'll grant you that a 56/44 forecast is in kind of a weird, uncomfortable zone," Silver wrote in his Sunday blog post. He clarified that this forecast implies Harris has a 56 percent likelihood of winning the Electoral College, not a margin of 12 points over Trump. This suggests that the election is essentially a toss-up and could be very close all the way to Election Day.

By Monday, Silver's update slightly adjusted the numbers, giving Harris a 55.1 percent chance compared to Trump's 44.7 percent chance of winning the Electoral College.

Recent national polls reflect a tight race between Harris and Trump as Election Day nears. RealClearPolitics' national polling average shows Harris with almost a 2-point lead over Trump. Meanwhile, a recent Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll indicates Harris maintains a slim lead over Trump in the swing states of Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and North Carolina. In Georgia, the two candidates are currently tied according to the poll.