The Trade Desk shares plummet 30% after disappointing Q4 revenue forecast
ICARO Media Group
The Trade Desk, a digital advertising company, experienced a sharp decline in its shares, tumbling approximately 30% during after-hours trading on Thursday. The drop was triggered by the company's announcement of a fourth-quarter revenue projection that fell significantly short of analysts' expectations. However, the company's third-quarter results surpassed estimates.
According to LSEG (formerly known as Refinitiv), The Trade Desk reported adjusted earnings per share of 33 cents, surpassing the predicted 29 cents. Furthermore, the company's revenue for the third quarter reached $493 million, exceeding the expected $487.04 million.
Unfortunately, The Trade Desk disappointed analysts when it projected fourth-quarter revenue to be at least $580 million, well below the estimated $610 million. A spokesperson from The Trade Desk explained that the company's cautious guidance was primarily attributed to advertiser hesitancy in certain industries, such as U.S. auto and media/entertainment, due to recent strikes.
During a call with analysts, Laura Schenkein, the Chief Financial Officer of The Trade Desk, acknowledged the presence of more macro-economic uncertainty at the beginning of the fourth quarter. Additionally, CEO Jeff Green noted that certain advertisers had displayed temporary caution around their spending, particularly in industries like automotive, consumer electronics, and media and entertainment. Strikes, such as those experienced by the U.S. auto industry, have directly impacted these sectors.
Nonetheless, Green expressed confidence in the company's ability to outpace the industry and gain market share, noting that spending had stabilized in early November. The Trade Desk reported a 25% increase in sales for the third quarter, rising from $493 million in the previous year. Net income also rose to $39 million, or 8 cents per share, compared to $16 million, or 3 cents per share, in the previous year.
In response to the disappointing forecast, The Trade Desk shares experienced a significant drop during extended trading, falling to $53.49 from the previous closing price of $76.81 on Thursday. Prior to this decline, the company's shares had shown a remarkable 71% increase throughout the year.
The Trade Desk, valued at $38 billion prior to the earnings report, has established itself in the ad-tech industry by assisting brands in effectively reaching potential customers across various online platforms, particularly in the streaming and online video sector. While many independent ad-tech companies have struggled to compete with Google's dominant advertising systems, The Trade Desk has successfully shifted ad budgets from traditional television to the connected TV market.
Interestingly, other major players in the digital advertising industry, including Meta, Snap, and Pinterest, have also acknowledged a softening of the market in their recent earnings reports, partially attributed to the Israel-Hamas conflict. Meta's Chief Financial Officer, Susan Li, stated that the company widened its guidance due to the unpredictability surrounding the Middle East crisis, while Snap decided not to provide official guidance due to the uncertain nature of war.
Despite the setback caused by the Q4 revenue forecast, The Trade Desk remains poised to persevere as it continues to adapt and innovate in the rapidly evolving digital advertising landscape.