Starbucks Posts Disappointing Q1 Earnings, Investors Remain Optimistic

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ICARO Media Group
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30/01/2024 22h46

Starbucks, the coffee giant, reported lackluster earnings for its first quarter, falling short of both revenue and earnings expectations. Despite the underperformance, investors seemed unfazed as shares surged nearly 4% in after-hours trading.

Revenue for the quarter grew by 8% year over year to $9.4 billion, missing analyst estimates of a 10.2% increase to $9.6 billion. Similarly, adjusted earnings per share rose by 20% to $0.90, but failed to meet expectations of a 22.5% increase to $0.93.

US same-store sales also missed projections, with growth coming in at 5% instead of the anticipated 5.73%. This was attributed to November and December volatility, including union walkouts prior to Thanksgiving and social media calls for a boycott related to the Israel/Hamas conflict.

Despite these challenges, Morningstar analyst Sean Dunlop highlighted that investors had "priced in worse" and remained optimistic. He pointed out that Starbucks continues to outpace the industry in terms of foot traffic, indicating that the company has not excessively increased prices and still resonates with consumers.

Starbucks' CEO, Laxman Narasimhan, expressed confidence in the brand's strength despite the headwinds faced in the past quarter. Narasimhan emphasized the company's focus on innovation, employee welfare, and its long-term growth strategy announced in the previous quarter. He believes these factors will drive balanced and attractive earnings growth.

Internationally, Starbucks faced challenges in China, its second-largest market. Same-store sales in the country increased by 10% during the quarter, falling short of the expected 16% jump. As COVID-19 restrictions eased, foot traffic rose by 21%, but check sizes dropped by 9%. The company faces increasing competition from local brands like Luckin Coffee and Cotti Coffee, which have adopted aggressive pricing strategies.

Despite these hurdles, Starbucks saw a 7% increase in international sales overall, driven by a rise in foot traffic. The company is positioning itself for future growth, with plans to expand its global footprint from over 38,000 to 55,000 stores by 2030. In the first quarter alone, the company opened 549 net new stores.

Analysts expressed concerns about the sustainability of Starbucks' premium beverage offerings and customized drinks in an environment where customers are more focused on managing their expenses. Additionally, the company faces challenges related to the macroeconomic environment, its premium price point, and the reputation impact from recent protests.

Looking ahead, Starbucks aims to implement a $3 billion efficiency program over the next three years, with projected savings of $2 billion from the corporate side.

Prior to the earnings report, Starbucks' shares had declined by 14% over the past year, in contrast to the S&P 500's 21% gain. In comparison, McDonald's, which recently announced its entry into the coffee scene with CosMc, saw its shares rise by around 7.3% in the last year.

Despite the disappointing earnings, Starbucks' investors show confidence in the company's long-term prospects, choosing to focus on its resilience and plans for growth in the coming years.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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