Big Tech's Growth Outlook Wavers, Causing Concerns Among Investors
ICARO Media Group
(Bloomberg) - Big Tech companies have reported stronger-than-expected earnings, but concerns have arisen about their growth prospects in the upcoming fourth quarter. The cautious outlook from Apple Inc., Alphabet Inc., Meta Platforms Inc., and Tesla Inc. has sparked worries among investors. Despite a recent rally in the Nasdaq 100 Stock Index, the uncertain future for these tech giants has put their stocks on shaky ground.
The primary reason for investor anxiety is the disappointment in future guidance provided by these companies. According to Scott Colyer, the CEO of Advisors Asset Management, "Big tech stocks were priced to historic perfection, so that left investors disappointed after those companies came up short."
This uncertainty has led to a significant decline in stock prices. The seven largest tech stocks have dropped an average of about 9% from their 52-week highs, with Apple alone experiencing a market value loss of over $300 billion.
While the recent sell-off has made valuations more affordable, they remain relatively expensive compared to other stocks. The seven largest tech companies in the S&P 500 Index are currently priced at an average of 31 times projected profits, nearly twice the multiple of the other 493 stocks in the benchmark.
However, despite the cautious outlook, these tech giants are still expected to see impressive profit growth. Bloomberg Intelligence data suggests that the seven biggest growth companies in the S&P 500, including Apple, Microsoft Corp., Alphabet, Amazon.com Inc., Nvidia Corp., Meta, and Tesla, are on track to achieve a 50% increase in profits. This exceeds the initial estimates of a 36% increase. Nvidia's earnings report, due on November 21, will be the final piece of the puzzle.
Keith Lerner, the co-chief investment officer at Truist Advisory Services, believes that the pressure on Big Tech is a sign that the correction in the S&P 500 is nearing its end. He anticipates that the last two months of the year, which historically tend to be positive for stocks, may bring a resurgence in tech stocks as investors fear missing out.
Despite this optimism, the tech sector still carries a nearly 36% premium over the S&P 500 on a forward price-to-earnings basis. This suggests that there may still be challenges ahead for larger growth stocks that may have become overvalued.
Looking ahead, the battle between tech stocks and bond yields may continue, potentially impacting money managers who have recently reinvested in US mega-cap companies as yields fell.
Max Wasserman, the senior portfolio manager at Miramar Capital, urges caution and warns against excessive optimism regarding mega-cap tech companies. He emphasizes the potential risks posed by economic or geopolitical upheavals, as technology stocks continue to dominate the market.
While the market rallied after the Federal Reserve's recent signal to hold off on interest rate hikes, uncertainties within the tech sector persist. Thus, investors are advised to approach the tech industry and the broader market with caution.
In conclusion, Big Tech's recent earnings reports have prompted concerns about their growth outlook for the fourth quarter. Despite stronger-than-expected profits, caution and uncertain guidance from companies such as Apple, Alphabet, Meta, and Tesla have raised doubts among investors. The tech sector faces challenges ahead, and investors are advised to remain cautious in their approach.
(Note: The information provided is based solely on the text given and does not include additional context or analysis.)