Big Tech and Fed Decision Take Center Stage as U.S. Stocks Drift

https://icaro.icaromediagroup.com/system/images/photos/16021432/original/open-uri20240129-56-fgbxau?1706557339
ICARO Media Group
News
29/01/2024 19h41

U.S. stocks experienced a sense of uncertainty on Monday as investors awaited the upcoming earnings reports from the technology giants known as the "Magnificent Seven." The S&P 500, which has seen substantial gains fueled by Big Tech stocks, including Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, and Microsoft, is anxiously anticipating the release of their latest quarterly profits.

The Magnificent Seven, responsible for the majority of the S&P 500's impressive returns in recent times, face the task of meeting analysts' expectations for growth to justify their substantial market moves. Their influence extends far beyond their own impact as their massive size exerts significant weight on not only the S&P 500 but also other indices.

In addition to the highly anticipated earnings reports, investors are keenly watching the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates, scheduled for Wednesday. While traders are expecting no immediate change, hopes are high for a rate cut in the Fed's next meeting in March. This potential cut would mark a significant shift since the Fed embarked on a period of increased interest rates two years ago in an effort to control inflation.

Wall Street's optimism stems from a wave of encouraging data, leading many to believe that the Fed will successfully contain inflation and eventually provide the desired rate cuts. Over the past year, concerns of an impending recession have diminished, enhancing the dream scenario envisioned by investors.

On Friday, the latest monthly update on the job market, released by the government, will hold additional weight in shaping investors' beliefs. Economists anticipate continued growth in hiring, albeit at a more moderate pace. The Federal Reserve would welcome such a development, as excessive growth could potentially lead to inflationary pressures.

"This week could be key," said Chris Larkin, a managing director at E-Trade from Morgan Stanley. "If the market is going to sustain its latest breakout, it may need to avoid earnings disappointments from this week's Big Tech lineup, get encouraging news from the Fed on interest rates, and see jobs numbers that are solid, but not too hot."

Although the profit reporting season is expected to be lackluster overall, with a projected fourth drop in earnings per share for S&P 500 companies in the last five quarters, the Magnificent Seven stocks provide a glimmer of hope. According to FactSet, Facebook's parent company, Meta Platforms, is anticipated to be the largest contributor to growth for the overall S&P 500. Nvidia closely follows, with Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, and Amazon also expected to make considerable contributions.

However, companies reporting this season have not witnessed the usual significant boost to their stock prices after surpassing analysts' forecasts. Franklin Resources, an investment manager, experienced a 2.2% decline despite reporting stronger profits and revenue for the latest quarter than initially expected. In contrast, SoFi Technologies fared better, with its stock surging by 20.1% after the financial services company reported stronger results for the last three months of 2023. Additionally, its profit forecast for the upcoming year exceeded analysts' estimates.

Meanwhile, the stock prices of oil-and-gas companies suffered a slump following fluctuations in crude oil prices due to concerns about escalating violence in the Middle East.

The start of the week saw a Hong Kong court decision to order the liquidation of China Evergrande, the world's most indebted property developer. This ruling resulted in mixed performances in Chinese markets, with stocks rising in Hong Kong and falling in Shanghai. Chinese authorities also implemented measures to make it more challenging for investors to "short" Chinese stocks, reflecting concerns over the troubled property industry and the country's weak economic recovery.

As this eventful week unfolds, investors continue to navigate an uncertain landscape, closely monitoring the earnings reports from the Magnificent Seven, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, and the upcoming job market update. The convergence of these factors will shape market sentiment and determine whether the current stock market rally can be sustained in the face of mounting challenges.

Note: The generated news article is fictional and does not reflect real events.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

Related