In an unexpected turn of events, Tropical Storm Hone has formed in the Central Pacific, becoming the first tropical cyclone of the year in the region. As the storm tracks towards Hawaii, concerns are growing about its potential impact on the islands. While it is still uncertain how close the system will come to the archipelago, it is expected to bring heavy rain and strong winds, particularly to the Big Island, over the weekend and into next week.

Less than 12 hours after the formation of a tropical depression, the system quickly organized and was officially named Tropical Storm Hone - a significant development for the Central Pacific. The forecast path indicates that the storm will likely move west or west-northwest, passing near or south of the Hawaiian Islands in the coming days.

However, the exact distance between the system and the islands will determine the extent of the impacts, including rainfall, surf, and wind. Some forecast models suggest that the center of circulation will remain about 200 miles south of the Big Island, resulting in only outer-fringe impacts. Nonetheless, the uncertainty of the forecast emphasizes the importance of being prepared for hurricane season and any potential effects.

Although direct landfalls are rare in Hawaii, with only one occurring approximately every decade or two, the National Weather Service is closely monitoring the situation. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center warns that Tropical Storm Hone could strengthen to near-hurricane strength over the weekend while tracking near or south of Hawaii. However, a direct landfall is currently unlikely.

Anticipated impacts include heavy rainfall, with the southern parts of the Big Island expected to receive 4-8 inches, while the mountainous regions of other small islands may see 2-4 inches. Increased swells and dangerous surf conditions are also expected along the beaches, including popular locations such as Wailea Beach in Maui, Polihale State Park in Kauai, and Punaluʻu Black Sand Beach on the Big Island. Gusty winds are expected to affect most, if not all, of the islands, although sustained winds are predicted to remain below tropical-storm force in most areas.

Meanwhile, in the Atlantic, the basin remains unusually quiet for August, with no tropical cyclone formations expected through the end of the month. Dry air influxes and cooler water temperatures are cited as reasons for the lack of activity. However, the Eastern and Central Pacific are experiencing a different scenario, with Hurricane Gilma currently intensifying over 2,000 miles away from Hawaii. Forecasters predict that Gilma, currently a Category 3 hurricane, may reach at least Category 4 strength. Although its slow speed indicates that it won't approach Hawaii until the Labor Day weekend.

As the hurricane season continues until the end of November, it is crucial for residents of Hawaii to stay informed, be prepared, and heed the guidance from authorities as Tropical Storm Hone and Hurricane Gilma pose potential threats to the Pacific islands in the coming days and weeks.