A new tropical disturbance has been observed along the southeastern U.S. coast following the transition of Hurricane Beryl into a post-tropical cyclone, as reported by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami. This disturbance has the potential to develop over the next few days, with a 10% chance of strengthening into a more significant storm within a week. As it moves inland, the disturbance is expected to bring disorganized showers and thunderstorms to the area.

Hurricane Beryl, the first named hurricane of the Atlantic season, weakened into a tropical depression as it traveled to Arkansas on Tuesday. The remnants of the post-tropical cyclone have now reached the Indiana and Ohio border, creating a threat of flash flooding and possible tornadoes for the northeast region. However, the disturbance and Beryl remnants do not pose a threat to Louisiana.

Earlier this week, Hurricane Beryl broke records by becoming the earliest Category 5 storm to form in the Atlantic, causing heavy rainfall and damaging winds as it battered the Texas coast. The storm also resulted in reported tornadoes and showers in northwest Louisiana. While the southeast portion of the state was under a coastal flooding advisory, the hurricane brought increased humidity to the Gulf.

In a recently updated forecast, researchers from Colorado State University (CSU) predict that the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season will be more active than previously expected. They now anticipate a total of 25 named storms, with 12 of them developing into hurricanes and five becoming Category 3 or higher hurricanes. Their previous forecast in June had estimated 23 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and five major hurricanes. For comparison, an average hurricane season typically consists of 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes based on CSU data from 1991 to 2020.

The increased activity is attributed to higher temperatures in the Atlantic and Gulf regions, as well as the return of La Niña. CSU researchers have also estimated a 52% probability of hurricanes making landfall within a 50-mile radius of Louisiana this season. Additionally, there is an 80% probability of storms making landfall within the same radius of the state. Florida is predicted to face the highest hurricane threat, with a 71% chance of hurricanes making landfall within a 50-mile radius.

So far, the 2024 hurricane season has seen three named storms: Alberto, Beryl, and Chris. The Atlantic hurricane season officially began on June 1 and will continue until November 30.

As the disturbance continues to develop and hurricane season remains active, residents in the affected regions are advised to stay informed about weather updates and follow any evacuation orders or precautions issued by local authorities.