Tracking Potential Tropical Development: Meteorologists Vigilant in Western Caribbean

ICARO Media Group
News
12/10/2024 17h47

**Meteorologists Monitor Potential Tropical Development in Western Caribbean**

Meteorologists are on alert for a new area of potential tropical activity in the Western Caribbean, just days after Hurricane Milton hit Florida. Milton, which made landfall as a Category 3 hurricane near Siesta Key on Wednesday, follows closely on the heels of Hurricane Helene that devastated the Big Bend region two weeks ago.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has recently focused on various disturbances, including one near Bermuda that dissipated earlier this week. Currently, a system near the west coast of Africa has a 50 percent chance of developing within the next seven days. However, it remains uncertain if this disturbance will escalate to tropical storm status.

AccuWeather meteorologists are also keeping a close watch on a gyre in the Western Caribbean, which could intensify into a significant storm by the end of next week. "We expect another gyre to get going over Central America later next week," stated Alex DaSilva, AccuWeather’s lead hurricane expert. He elaborated that a slowly rotating area of low pressure might evolve into a more distinct zone of showers and thunderstorms, potentially developing into a tropical depression or storm.

Matt Benz, a senior meteorologist at AccuWeather, informed Newsweek that any new storm would not likely form until between October 17 and 19. By then, meteorologists will have a clearer picture of the storm's path. Benz mentioned two possible courses; one heading west toward Central America and southern Mexico, and the other, possibly toward Florida again.

Though Texas is not anticipated to be affected, due to disruptive breezes typical in the area during this period, the potential for tropical development in the Western Caribbean is accentuated by very warm ocean temperatures. Both Hurricanes Helene and Milton experienced rapid strengthening attributed to similarly warm waters.

The subsequent tropical storms to emerge will be named Nadine and Oscar, but it's uncertain whether either disturbance will reach tropical storm status. The NHC has indicated that the system near Africa could develop more quickly than the one in the Western Caribbean, though it expects such potential development to be short-lived beyond Saturday due to changing environmental conditions.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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