The Atlantic hurricane season's next tropical storm could form later this week near the Bahamas, but its potential impacts to the U.S. remain uncertain, according to the National Hurricane Center and various computer models. The disturbance, currently located east of the Lesser Antilles, is expected to interact with a tropical wave by the second half of this week. Development, if it occurs, is projected to take place by Friday or Saturday near the Bahamas.

The system must contend with dry, dust-laden air from the Sahara Desert, which may initially hinder its development. However, favorable conditions such as light wind shear and warm ocean waters near the Bahamas could support its strengthening. The possible scenarios for the system's track range from a sharp recurve into the Atlantic Ocean to a potential impact on the eastern Gulf of Mexico or the Florida Peninsula.

As of now, the potential U.S. impacts of the system remain uncertain, with various outcomes possible depending on the development, strength, and track of the storm. All interests from Puerto Rico to the U.S. East Coast are advised to monitor the system's progress and stay updated on forecast updates. This development comes at a typical time of increased tropical activity in the Atlantic during the peak months of August, September, and October. The current atmospheric conditions and the expected formation area align with the seasonal ramp up of the hurricane season.