Potential Mexico Tariffs Threaten U.S. Automotive Market and Economy
ICARO Media Group
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In an alarming turn for the U.S. automotive industry, President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China may have significant repercussions. These substantial tariffs, initially proposed as high as 200 percent but now potentially set at 25 percent, could affect a wide range of products and industries, including automotive.
The U.S. auto industry stands to lose significantly if these tariffs are implemented. General Motors (GM), for instance, is at the forefront among automakers exporting cars from Mexico to the United States. Together with other top manufacturers, they produced 1.4 million vehicles in Mexico in the first half of the year, with 90 percent destined for the U.S. market. An import tariff could potentially inflate prices of popular models such as the Chevrolet Silverado, directly impacting consumers and possibly leading to declines in sales.
The ripple effect of such tariffs could extend beyond just the auto industry. Kenneth Smith Ramos, Mexico’s former chief negotiator for the USMCA trade pact, described the potential tariffs as akin to the U.S. "shooting itself in the foot." The costs could rise across several sectors, with potential price increases not just on vehicles but also on everyday goods like tequila and grocery items.
VinFast, a Vietnamese electric vehicle automaker, has recently been narrowing its losses, showcasing some optimism amidst the negative outlook for other automakers. Despite a net loss of 13.25 trillion dong ($521.3 million) in the third quarter, the company’s losses decreased by 14.8 percent from the previous year. Furthermore, VinFast’s revenue surged by 49.3 percent during the same period, driven by robust domestic sales which saw the firm deliver 21,912 cars, marking a 115 percent increase from the previous year.
In the luxury automotive sector, British automaker Aston Martin continues to grapple with challenges. In an effort to support its electrification efforts and future investments, the company has launched a funding round raising approximately $140 million. Despite this positive move, the company faces decreased earnings due to supply disruptions and lower demand in markets like China.
Adding to the current turbulence in the automotive world, German carmaker Volkswagen has been compelled to sell its Xinjiang plant in China. After years of backlash and allegations of abuse against the Uyghur population, VW has agreed to transfer its operations to Shanghai Motor Vehicle Inspection Certification (SMVIC). The plant, which previously had a capacity to build 50,000 cars per year, will now be under the control of SMVIC as VW moves out of the contentious region.
These developments collectively underscore a volatile period for the global automotive industry, with political decisions and ethical controversies intertwining with business operations. The impending trade policies and market responses in the coming months will be crucial to determining the future landscape of the industry.