Nvidia's Earnings Report Holds Key to AI Industry's Performance

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ICARO Media Group
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24/08/2024 20h34

The tech market eagerly awaits Nvidia's earnings report, scheduled to be released after trading hours on Wednesday. With the chip giant's stock being a bellwether for the artificial intelligence (AI) sector, the results could not only determine Nvidia's future but have a significant impact on other AI players as well.

The past few months have been a rocky ride for tech investors, with AI giants such as Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet experiencing declines in their stock prices. Amazon and Microsoft each saw drops of over 3%, while Alphabet's stock fell more than 6% over the last three months. Meanwhile, even second-tier AI players like AMD and Marvell Technology struggled to regain momentum, witnessing declines of over 16% and nearly 6%, respectively, since mid-July.

However, industry experts believe that Nvidia's strong performance in the upcoming quarter could revitalize the AI market. Tech investor Paul Meeks has emphasized the pivotal role Nvidia's report and guidance will play in the AI infrastructure trade. According to Wedbush's Dan Ives, Nvidia is at the heart and lungs of the bullish tech trade, as the AI Revolution continues to gain traction.

Ives predicts that Nvidia's quarter will deliver positive results, referring to it as a "shock and awe" quarter. He believes that continued high demand for Nvidia's chips will have a significant ripple effect across the tech sector. Ives estimates that for every dollar spent on a Nvidia GPU chip, there is an $8 to $10 multiplier effect that benefits the entire industry.

Bernstein analyst Mark Shmulik, who covers some of Nvidia's largest customers including Meta, Amazon, and Google, agrees that the chip giant's results will be a crucial driver for the next moves of Big Tech companies. Shmulik describes Nvidia as a bellwether of the Magnificent Seven and the AI trade. Should any softness be observed, there may be a rotation out of these seven companies, but Shmulik highlights that core fundamentals in the tech sector have consistently delivered positive results.

Nvidia's stock has surged this year, rising by an impressive 180% over the past year and an astounding 2,900% over the past five years. This success sets a high bar for the company's earnings this quarter. Analyst estimates indicate that Nvidia's revenue is expected to grow by 112% in the latest quarter, representing a significant slowdown from the over 250% growth witnessed a year ago.

Wall Street remains optimistic, with KeyBanc, Citi, and Goldman Sachs reiterating their Buy ratings on Nvidia's stock this week leading up to the earnings announcement. As the highly anticipated event approaches, only time will tell if Nvidia can live up to the expectations set for this earnings season, but the industry recognizes the stakes are high.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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