New Storm Brewing: Tropical Storm Patty Looms, Defying End of 2024 Hurricane Season

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23/10/2024 22h16

### Potential Tropical Storm Patty Looms as Hurricane Season Persists

Despite the National Hurricane Center ceasing the tracking of Tropical Storm Oscar in the Atlantic, the 2024 hurricane season may not be winding down just yet. Although the official end of the season is November 30, AccuWeather forecasts the formation of another system, possibly named Tropical Storm Patty, within the upcoming week.

AccuWeather Chief On-Air Meteorologist Bernie Rayno predicts, "We suspect there will be another attempt for a tropical depression or tropical storm to brew in the western Caribbean during the middle to the latter part of next week." Highlighting an "advanced risk development zone," he indicated the potential for this new system's emergence.

The factors favoring this development include continued warm water temperatures in both the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic, with the latter experiencing significantly higher temperatures than usual in critical development zones. These conditions, along with low wind shear that tends to enhance tropical formation, create a conducive environment for potential storm development.

Additionally, historical data offers insight into possible storm trajectories. Late-season tropical storms typically veer either towards Central America or move north-northeast affecting regions such as Cuba, Hispaniola, and the Bahamas. However, forecasting the exact path would depend on the formation specifics and local environmental influences at that time.

Currently, the National Hurricane Center is also monitoring two tropical waves: one in the central Atlantic and another in the eastern Caribbean. The central Atlantic wave, making its way west at about 15 knots, is situated near 44W from 15N southward. Meanwhile, located near 62W, the eastern Caribbean wave is progressing westward between 10 and 15 knots, bringing showers to the northern Leeward Islands.

While the Atlantic Basin hurricane season spans from June 1 to November 30, the tracking of these developments is crucial as it provides an awareness of the present conditions and helps anticipate future storms as the season comes to a scheduled close.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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