MongoDB Stock Plummets Despite Exceeding Earnings Expectations

ICARO Media Group
News
07/03/2024 23h44

In a surprising turn of events, database software company MongoDB witnessed a significant drop in its stock value, despite reporting quarterly earnings and sales that surpassed expectations. MongoDB's stock stumbled by over 11% during late Thursday trading, falling to 363 in recent after-hours action.

For the January quarter, MongoDB announced adjusted earnings of 86 cents per share on sales of $458 million, outperforming the projected average of analysts who predicted adjusted earnings of 46 cents per share on sales of $437 million, according to FactSet. Notably, earnings per share showed a remarkable 51% increase year over year, while sales saw a solid 27% growth.

However, despite the positive financial results, the company's outlook for the current quarter failed to meet consensus expectations. MongoDB guided for sales of $438 million for the April-ending quarter, based on the midpoint of its range, falling short of analysts' projections of $452 million, as per FactSet data.

Furthermore, for the full fiscal year ending in January 2025, MongoDB projected sales ranging between $1.90 billion to $1.93 billion, which was lower than the expected $2.04 billion estimated by analysts. Adjusted earnings per share guidance for the upcoming quarter was set between 34 cents and 39 cents, in contrast to the anticipated 62 cents per share.

Despite these disappointing forecasts, MongoDB remains optimistic about its future. MongoDB's CEO, Dev Ittycheria, highlighted the company's success in securing "healthy new workload wins" and emphasized how MongoDB's developer data platform is increasingly becoming the standard for modern application development.

One of MongoDB's flagship platforms, Atlas, which provides a leading NoSQL (nonrelational) database solution, performed admirably during the quarter. Sales for the subscription-based Atlas surged by 34%, contributing to an overall 28% rise in MongoDB's subscription revenue, which reached $445 million for the January period.

Moreover, MongoDB celebrated reaching over 47,800 customers in the January quarter, marking a 17% year-over-year increase. Notably, the number of customers paying more than $100,000 annually rose by 24% to 2,052, compared to the previous year.

While MongoDB's stock suffered a setback, it is important to note that prior to the earnings announcement, the company had experienced modest gains of less than 1% in Thursday trading. Overall, the stock has gained 7% year-to-date and an impressive 80% over the past 12 months.

MongoDB's stock surge last year can be attributed to the successful launch of new products focused on generative artificial intelligence. The cutting-edge database software offered by MongoDB has made it a favorite among analysts for AI-related growth.

Despite the recent drop in stock value, MongoDB still retains a strong IBD Composite Rating of 99, according to IBD Stock Checkup. This rating combines five separate proprietary ratings into one, with the best growth stocks typically having a Composite Rating of 90 or higher. However, MongoDB's IBD Relative Strength Rating has dipped to 84 out of 99 since February, as the stock retreated from its 52-week high of 509.62, according to IBD MarketSurge.

Although MongoDB faces short-term challenges in meeting market expectations, the company's strong financial performance and growing customer base provide a solid foundation for future growth and continued leadership in the database software industry.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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