Big Tech Stocks Rebound as Investors Seize Buying Opportunity
ICARO Media Group
In a sharp turn of events, what initially appeared to be a looming reckoning for Big Tech stocks has transformed into a promising opportunity for investors. On August 5, the Nasdaq 100 experienced a significant drop of over 5% moments after the market opened, fueling concerns of an imminent tech bubble burst. However, just two weeks later, as reassuring data emerged, those worries have been swiftly pushed aside, giving way to a renewed surge in the tech sector.
Anthony Saglimbene, Chief Market Strategist at Ameriprise Financial, noted that the August selloff was actually a buying opportunity that had not been seen in over a year. In an environment where overall growth is slowing down, big tech names offer investors the chance to be part of companies that not only exhibit strong growth but are also relatively insulated from economic volatility.
Tech stocks have staged an impressive turnaround as recent data signals continued expansion in the US economy and a decline in inflation. These positive indicators have reignited hopes for a soft landing, a speculation that had contributed to much of this year's equity market gains. As a result, the Nasdaq 100 has rallied for seven consecutive sessions, registering its largest weekly advance since November and inching closer to its previous record high set in July.
Leading the charge in this rally are the same heavyweight tech companies that previously dragged down the market. Nvidia Corp. has seen its stock rally by around 26% from this month's lows, propelling the company's market value by over $600 billion. Meanwhile, Apple Inc. has embarked on an eight-day winning streak, bringing it within 4% of its all-time high. Overall, an index of the seven tech giants has surged over 10%.
However, concerns about the sector's longer-term outlook persist, even as some of the immediate worries that triggered the recent selloff have faded into the background. These include notoriously high valuations that were becoming difficult to justify and fears of a potential shift by the Federal Reserve into recession-fighting mode. Nevertheless, many investors believe that given their market positions, exposure to artificial intelligence (AI), financial stability, and robust profits, big tech stocks deserve a valuation premium.
This renewed rally has been fueled by a multitude of factors. Hedge funds have capitalized on last week's selloff by heavily investing in tech stocks, as well as other sectors such as communication services and consumer staples, according to data from Goldman Sachs Group Inc.'s prime brokerage. Furthermore, companies themselves have demonstrated aggressive buying behavior, with Goldman's buyback desk reporting record orders from corporations. Individual buyers have also enthusiastically participated, resulting in the highest net buying activity in the past 12 months, as per data from Vanda Research.
While the macroeconomic backdrop can shift quickly, with weak job numbers currently being overshadowed by a surge in retail sales, the tech companies continue to generate substantial profits. Despite a slowdown in earnings growth, the tech giants are still outperforming traditional standards, allowing them to invest heavily in AI. As reports for four of the five largest US technology companies - Microsoft Corp., Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc., and Apple Inc. - indicate, profit growth for the group is on track to rise by 35% in the quarter ending in June, compared to the S&P 500 Index's 13% growth.
One key player expected to benefit from this investment spending is Nvidia, the chipmaker that has been at the forefront of the AI build-out. Nvidia is scheduled to report its earnings on August 28, and investors will eagerly await the remarks by CEO Jensen Huang regarding future prospects. While Nvidia is predicted to continue reaping significant rewards, doubts remain about whether AI will yield substantial profit breakthroughs for the companies investing in it. Consequently, these uncertainties may continue to cast a shadow over the stocks, regardless of the recent rally.
As the market rebounds, investors find themselves cautiously optimistic about the tech sector's resurgence. While challenges lie ahead, the newfound buying opportunity has invigorated confidence, driving a renewed wave of investments into these tech giants. Only time will tell if this momentum is sustainable and whether the promises of AI will materialize into substantial returns.