In an increasingly challenging path to reelection, President Joe Biden is facing a decline in support among key demographics and swing states crucial to his victory in 2020. The latest polls indicate a growing disapproval of Biden's handling of the Israel-Palestine conflict, raising concerns about the ethical and electoral implications of his stance.

Biden's firm commitment to maintaining unqualified military and economic support for Israel, despite mounting criticism and allegations of potential genocide in Gaza, has sparked a backlash among young voters, people of color, and college-educated women. An NBC poll conducted in November revealed that 70 percent of voters aged eighteen to thirty-four disapproved of Biden's handling of the conflict. Similarly, a New York Times poll found that 46 percent of voters between eighteen and twenty-nine strongly disapproved of his Israel-Palestine policy.

These alarming numbers signify a significant shift from the 2020 election, where Biden won over these demographics by considerable margins. Recent surveys now suggest that Biden is either competitive with or trailing former President Trump among young people. The erosion of support among people of color mirrors this declining trend.

Moreover, Biden is also facing challenges in key swing states. In Michigan, a grassroots campaign urging voters to mark "uncommitted" on the ballot garnered unexpected success, securing second place with 13 percent of the vote. This unprecedented repudiation from traditionally supportive voters sends a clear message about their increasing dissatisfaction with the current administration.

With crucial swing states like Michigan playing a pivotal role in Biden's previous victory, the loss of support in these areas poses a significant political danger. Biden risks squandering his narrow winning margin from 2020, when his approval ratings were higher, and grassroots campaigns were working tirelessly to elect him.

However, Biden's political peril extends beyond his Israel policy. Unlike former President Trump, who successfully built a committed movement with his Make America Great Again (MAGA) campaign, the Democratic Party under Biden's leadership has focused primarily on fundraising and policy reform rather than inspiring and leading a grassroots movement of democratic solidarity.

This lack of movement building could prove detrimental to Biden's quest for reelection, particularly as his handling of the Israel-Palestine conflict draws both domestic and international criticism. The failure to address the growing unrest within the party risks alienating the progressive base that helped secure his victory over Trump in 2020.

The Biden campaign's hopes now rest on the assumption that young and non-white voters will return to the fold in November, rather than opt for the potentially more unpalatable option of a vengeful and openly authoritarian former President Trump. It is a gamble that the future of democracy in the United States and the wider world could hinge upon.

As the election approaches, Biden faces the daunting task of regaining support from disillusioned constituents while confronting the repercussions of his one-sided support for Israel. The trajectory of his reelection bid remains uncertain, with ethical concerns and a decline in key demographics potentially swaying the electoral outcome. Time will reveal if Biden can recalibrate his strategy and regain lost support to secure victory once more.