Biden Administration's New Tailpipe Emissions Standards Expected to Benefit Legacy Automakers

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ICARO Media Group
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23/03/2024 15h12

In a move that is expected to be a win for legacy automakers, the Biden administration has announced eased timelines and more flexibility for all-electric vehicle adoption and meeting new tailpipe emissions standards. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) released new rules aimed at cutting tailpipe emissions by 49% between model years 2027 and 2032, with a target for electric vehicles (EVs) to make up at least 35% of new vehicle sales by 2032.

These new standards represent a shift from the more ambitious proposed rules released last year, which aimed for a 56% reduction in emissions by 2032 and a goal for EVs to represent 67% of new vehicles. The adjustment comes in response to slower-than-expected sales of electric vehicles, which can come with a higher price tag compared to traditional gas-powered vehicles.

The EPA's approach to reducing tailpipe emissions does not solely rely on EVs, but also considers more efficient gasoline engines, hybrids, and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles as part of the strategy. The percentage targets set by the EPA for EV adoption are expectations rather than mandates, providing automakers with different pathways to comply with emissions regulations. The range for the share of EV sales in the market by 2032 is between 35% and 56%.

According to the EPA, these new standards will result in the avoidance of more than 7 billion tons of carbon emissions and provide nearly $100 billion in annual net benefits to society. These benefits include improved air quality, resulting in $13 billion in annual public health benefits, along with $62 billion in reduced annual fuel costs and maintenance expenses for drivers.

The altered rules have been warmly received by automotive officials and Wall Street analysts, particularly benefiting legacy automakers such as General Motors, Ford Motor, and Stellantis (formerly Chrysler). The new guidelines reduce the immediate pressure on automakers to rapidly increase EV production and could potentially enable them to lower EV capital expenditures and research and development costs.

The Alliance for Automotive Innovation, a lobbying group representing most automakers in the U.S., praised the decision to moderate the pace of EV adoption in the next critical years of the transition. The United Auto Workers union, which has expressed concerns about the impact on jobs during the shift to EVs, also welcomed the EPA's more feasible emissions rule.

On the other hand, Tesla and some environmental groups criticized the new standards. Tesla, as the largest U.S. EV maker, expressed disappointment, highlighting issues with plug-in hybrids contributing to higher CO2 emissions. However, the Sierra Club, an environmental organization that endorsed President Biden, hailed the standards as one of the most significant actions in addressing climate change.

Experts and analysts have noted that the revised standards could serve to support President Biden's reelection campaign by appeasing certain groups, particularly the United Auto Workers union, concerned about job losses in conventional auto manufacturing plants. The flexibility and delay built into the timeline could help Biden maintain support from the UAW and boost his prospects in swing states like Michigan, which is home to major automakers.

It's important to note that the tailpipe emissions regulations represent only one aspect of the government's efforts to enhance vehicle efficiency. Automakers are still awaiting the "Corporate Average Fuel Economy" (CAFE) standards from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration for the years 2027 to 2032. These standards regulate how far vehicles must travel on a gallon of fuel and are expected to be finalized later this year. Additionally, the California Air Resources Board has the authority to set its own emissions and fuel economy standards.

As the automotive industry continues to navigate the transition to cleaner technologies, coordination between the federal government and relevant stakeholders is crucial to ensure a successful transition to electrification.

Note: The content of this article is generated based on the provided information and does not reflect the opinions or beliefs of the assistant.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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