Paramount Global Sale Rumors Spark Speculation of Reshaping Hollywood Landscape

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ICARO Media Group
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11/12/2023 23h11

In an unexpected turn of events, discussions surrounding a potential sale of Paramount Global, the parent company of Paramount Studios, have gained considerable momentum as 2023 draws to a close. Reports suggest that Skydance Media, led by David Ellison, and private equity firm RedBird Capital are eyeing the controlling stake held by National Amusements (NAI), the parent company of Paramount Global. The potential sale has ignited speculation about a significant reshaping of the Hollywood landscape and the prospect of further industry deals.

The rumors were initially fueled by a Puck article, which unleashed a flurry of debate among industry insiders and investors. Paramount Global, home to prominent entities such as CBS, Showtime, MTV, Comedy Central, BET, and Nickelodeon, plays a dominant role in the entertainment industry. Consequently, any change in ownership could potentially lead to the reassessment of assets and spark a wave of new deals.

Skydance Media, known for its involvement in successful franchises like Mission: Impossible and Tom Cruise's films, has garnered substantial attention as a potential bidder. The company, backed by billionaire Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison's son, has also produced notable titles such as World War Z, Star Trek Into Darkness, and Jack Ryan. Skydance secured $400 million in funding last October, led by KKR and existing investors, including the Ellison family, RedBird Capital, and Tencent.

Industry analysts, including Wells Fargo's Steven Cahall and Sanford C. Bernstein's Laurent Yoon, have highlighted the significant impact of a potential Paramount sale on the media and entertainment landscape. Cahall notably stated that media mergers and acquisitions have swiftly become the number one investor theme, signaling the heightened interest and anticipation surrounding the possible deal.

The possibility of a Paramount sale has raised questions about the future of the studio's vast assets. Analysts anticipate that a merged entity between Skydance and Paramount could combine their film operations and CBS Studios, creating a content producer with greater scale. However, to achieve this, asset sales would be necessary. Paramount's streaming service, Paramount+, and its streamer PlutoTV are among the potential assets that may be divested or closed.

Cahall predicts a potential enterprise value of $1.7 billion for PlutoTV and estimates an enterprise value of $16 billion for most of Paramount's linear TV channels. He suggests that Skydance and RedBird Capital may be inclined to retain what they desire from Paramount while divesting approximately $15 billion worth of assets. However, Cahall later revised this estimate to around $13.5 billion in divestitures, which would amount to approximately $10 billion after tax leakage.

Despite the complexities of such a deal, Cahall remains optimistic about the potential acquisition. He asserts that David Ellison's credibility, coupled with RedBird's expertise in deal-making, positions them favorably to court NAI. Cahall goes so far as to use a pun in one of his reports, labeling the sale as "Mission Possible," emphasizing the likelihood of a successful deal.

If the sale were to materialize and subsequent asset sales were executed, the merged entity, tentatively referred to as Paramount New Company, could emerge as an enticing growth and content-driven organization. This optimistic outlook, combined with the renewed interest in deal talk, has the potential to reignite the media merger merry-go-round in the upcoming year, compelling other industry players to follow suit.

As the rumors continue to circulate, Wall Street eagerly awaits any further developments regarding the potential sale of Paramount Global via NAI. The outcome of these discussions may not only reshape the Hollywood landscape but also have a ripple effect on the media and entertainment industry as a whole.

Note: The generated news article is purely fictional and for illustrative purposes only.

The views expressed in this article do not reflect the opinion of ICARO, or any of its affiliates.

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